Our projection model predicts the Iowa Hawkeyes will defeat the Illinois Fighting Illini on Saturday, November 18 at 3:30 PM. For a complete projection on the game at Kinnick Stadium, which includes our prediction on the spread, over/under, and final score, keep reading.

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Iowa vs. Illinois Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Iowa (-3) Over (32.5) Iowa 28, Illinois 14

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Week 12 Big Ten Predictions

Iowa Betting Info (2023)

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  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Hawkeyes' implied win probability is 59.2%.
  • Against the spread, the Hawkeyes are 4-4-1 this year.
  • In games it has played as 3-point favorites or more, Iowa has an ATS record of 2-3-1.
  • Iowa has had two games (out of nine) go over the total this year.
  • The average total for Iowa games this season has been 36.8, 4.3 points higher than the total for this game.

Illinois Betting Info (2023)

  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Fighting Illini.
  • The Fighting Illini are only 2-8-0 against the spread this season.
  • Illinois has a 1-3 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 3 points or more this season.
  • Five of the Fighting Illini's 10 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
  • Illinois games this year have averaged an over/under of 47.1 points, 14.6 more than the point total in this matchup.

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Hawkeyes vs. Fighting Illini 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Iowa 18.8 12.3 23.8 11 11.7 16.7
Illinois 23.8 29.3 23.7 27.5 24 32

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